BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Darksideloss 1:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Monaspawin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Darkside
No games played over 6 months.
Monaspa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
479 picks · 317 bans
Tusk
471 picks · 461 bans
Tiny
459 picks · 407 bans
Mirana
336 picks · 331 bans
Treant Protector
326 picks · 379 bans
Snapfire
288 picks · 148 bans
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 655 bans
Pangolier
253 picks · 614 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% Darkside
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Monaspa
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:12
Darkside 49%Monaspa 51%
The model gave 51% on Monaspa — the game was taken by Monaspa in 30:19.
Game 2prediction correct33:20
Darkside 49%Monaspa 51%
The model gave 51% on Monaspa — the game was taken by Monaspa in 35:21.
Game 3prediction correct37:17
Darkside 49%Monaspa 51%
The model gave 51% on Monaspa — the game was taken by Monaspa in 27:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteMonaspa · 51%
Series resultMonaspa 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3