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BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Myth Avenue Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Reaperloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Myth Avenue Gaming

Tusk
Tusksignature
Hishge · 12 games
83%
Mirana
Miranasignature
RR · 9 games
78%
Lina
Linasignature
xsilearn · 8 games
88%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
zeal · 7 games
71%
Rubick
Rubick
RR · 7 games
57%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
Meracle · 5 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfire
RR · 5 games
40%
Tiny
Tiny
Hishge · 5 games
80%

Reaper

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Fearless · 1 game
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Fearless · 1 game
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 1 game
0%
Tiny
Tiny
Fearless · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
478 picks · 317 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
470 picks · 461 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
458 picks · 407 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
335 picks · 331 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
326 picks · 378 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
288 picks · 148 bans
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
262 picks · 655 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
253 picks · 614 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 17%
Hero pool strength66% Myth Avenue Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% Myth Avenue Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct45:23
Myth Avenue Gaming 73%Reaper 27%
The model gave 73% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by Myth Avenue Gaming in 35:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
Lycanzeal
50% · 28 games46% · 353 games
Ember SpiritFearless
Ember Spirit
Leshrac
Leshracxsilearn
65% · 51 game
Mars
MarsMeracle
58% · 103 games
Tusk
TuskHishge
51% · 88 games
Rubick
RubickRR
46% · 83 games
Game 2prediction correct12:40
Myth Avenue Gaming 84%Reaper 16%
The model gave 84% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by Myth Avenue Gaming in 32:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteMyth Avenue Gaming · 84%
Series resultMyth Avenue Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2