BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
PSG Questwin 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
X3loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PSG Quest
Rubicksignature
OmaR · 14 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Kaori · 9 games
Clockwerksignature
Kaori · 8 games
Morphlingsignature
TA2000 · 7 games
Pangoliersignature
No!ob · 7 games
Tidehuntersignature
Wuiter · 7 games
Death Prophetsignature
Wuiter · 6 games
Hoodwink
OmaR · 6 games
X3
Tiny
velheor · 26 games
Marcioften banned
velheor · 21 game
Pangolieroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 21 game
Hoodwink
alone · 20 games
Enigmaoften banned
Shergarat · 19 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Shergarat · 16 games
Morphlingoften banned
nesfeer · 16 games
Tusk
NattyNarwhal · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
475 picks · 315 bans
Tusk
469 picks · 460 bans
Tiny
456 picks · 406 bans
Mirana
333 picks · 331 bans
Treant Protector
323 picks · 375 bans
Snapfire
286 picks · 147 bans
Ember Spirit
262 picks · 648 bans
Pangolier
250 picks · 611 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)85% vs 55%
Hero pool strength64% PSG Quest
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total65% PSG Quest
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:7
PSG Quest 59%X3 41%
The model gave 59% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 20:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LeshracNo!ob
PangolierNattyNarwhal
VenomancerWuiter
Ursanesfeer
PudgeTA2000
BeastmasterShergarat
PhoenixKaori
Rubickdark
ClockwerkOmaR
Snapfirealone
Game 2prediction correct34:10
PSG Quest 60%X3 40%
The model gave 60% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 24:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey KingTA2000
Snipernesfeer
LeshracNo!ob
Ember SpiritNattyNarwhal
Dark SeerWuiter
MarciShergarat
TinyOmaR
Treant Protectordark
LionKaori
Hoodwinkalone
Model check result
Model favoritePSG Quest · 65%
Series resultPSG Quest 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2