BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
PSG Questwin 2:1series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Monaspaloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PSG Quest
Rubicksignature
OmaR · 13 games
Clockwerksignature
Kaori · 8 games
Tidehuntersignature
Wuiter · 7 games
Morphlingsignature
TA2000 · 6 games
Pangoliersignature
No!ob · 6 games
Snapfiresignature
Kaori · 6 games
Tinysignature
OmaR · 6 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Kaori · 6 games
Monaspa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
461 picks · 452 bans
Rubick
457 picks · 304 bans
Tiny
447 picks · 399 bans
Mirana
329 picks · 327 bans
Treant Protector
310 picks · 363 bans
Snapfire
277 picks · 143 bans
Ember Spirit
253 picks · 632 bans
Crystal Maiden
239 picks · 162 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)84% vs 60%
Hero pool strength66% PSG Quest
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total60% PSG Quest
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:32
PSG Quest 60%Monaspa 40%
The model gave 60% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by Monaspa in 30:59.
Game 2prediction correct36:28
PSG Quest 60%Monaspa 40%
The model gave 60% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 1:01:24.
Game 3prediction correct38:24
PSG Quest 60%Monaspa 40%
The model gave 60% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 39:09.
Model check result
Model favoritePSG Quest · 60%
Series resultPSG Quest 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3