BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
UD Vessuwan
Snapfire
Jhocam · 6 games
Rubick
boombell · 5 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Meracle · 4 games
Tusk
boombell · 4 games
Batrideroften banned
AlaCrity · 3 games
Doomoften banned
tnt · 3 games
Dragon Knight
Beebie · 3 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
inYourdreaM · 3 games
EHOME
Disruptorsignature
Lwwnb · 15 games
Pangoliersignature
Night · 12 games
Tusk
Night · 9 games
Rubicksignature
CatYou · 8 games
Marcioften banned
xiaoyu154 · 7 games
Mirana
CatYou · 7 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
mks- · 7 games
Primal Beastsignature
Night · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
460 picks · 452 bans
Rubick
455 picks · 304 bans
Tiny
445 picks · 399 bans
Mirana
328 picks · 327 bans
Treant Protector
309 picks · 362 bans
Snapfire
277 picks · 143 bans
Ember Spirit
253 picks · 630 bans
Crystal Maiden
238 picks · 162 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 50%
Hero pool strength63% EHOME
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% EHOME
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:19
UD Vessuwan 43%EHOME 57%
The model gave 57% on EHOME — the game was taken by UD Vessuwan in 32:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeKNP
Slarkmks-
TinyBeebie
PangolierNight
Beastmastertnt
Marcixiaoyu154
Rubickboombell
HoodwinkCatYou
Treant ProtectorLionaX
DisruptorLwwnb
Game 2prediction correct18:30
UD Vessuwan 43%EHOME 57%
The model gave 57% on EHOME — the game was taken by EHOME in 26:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophettnt
Terrorblademks-
BloodseekerKNP
PangolierNight
TinyBeebie
Magnusxiaoyu154
MiranaLionaX
RubickCatYou
Tuskboombell
Crystal MaidenLwwnb
Model check result
Model favoriteEHOME · 60%
Accuracy by game1 of 2