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BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Myth Avenue Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
UD Vessuwanloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Myth Avenue Gaming

Tusk
Tusksignature
Hishge · 10 games
80%
Lina
Linasignature
xsilearn · 8 games
88%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
zeal · 6 games
67%
Mirana
Miranasignature
RR · 6 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
RR · 6 games
50%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
Meracle · 5 games
60%
Tiny
Tiny
Hishge · 5 games
80%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Meracle · 4 games
75%

UD Vessuwan

Snapfire
Snapfire
Jhocam · 6 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
boombell · 4 games
25%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
AlaCrity · 3 games
0%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Meracle · 3 games
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Beebie · 3 games
33%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
inYourdreaM · 3 games
33%
Tusk
Tusk
boombell · 3 games
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
tnt · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
457 picks · 450 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
452 picks · 303 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
444 picks · 399 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
326 picks · 327 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
305 picks · 360 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
275 picks · 143 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
252 picks · 624 bans
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
236 picks · 162 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength65% Myth Avenue Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Myth Avenue Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:10
Myth Avenue Gaming 58%UD Vessuwan 42%
The model gave 58% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by Myth Avenue Gaming in 34:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Spectre
SpectreMeracle
50% · 54 games50% · 170 games
Nature's ProphetKNP
Nature's Prophet
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnerzeal
46% · 69 games42% · 160 games
Doomtnt
Doom
Tusk
Tuskxsilearn
51% · 286 games58% · 292 games
PangolierBeebie
Pangolier
Mirana
MiranaRR
51% · 267 games47% · 241 game
Hoodwinkboombell
Hoodwink
Rubick
RubickHishge
45% · 274 games60% · 87 games
RikiLionaX
Riki
Game 2prediction correct30:20
Myth Avenue Gaming 58%UD Vessuwan 42%
The model gave 58% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by Myth Avenue Gaming in 27:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendMeracle
44% · 126 games41% · 141 game
Chaos KnightKNP
Chaos Knight
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritxsilearn
51% · 325 games45% · 307 games
Death ProphetBeebie
Death Prophet
Beastmaster
Beastmasterzeal
57% · 278 games50% · 346 games
Tusktnt
Tusk
Mirana
MiranaHishge
56% · 356 games48% · 303 games
Rubickboombell
Rubick
Undying
UndyingRR
52% · 214 games53% · 202 games
Crystal MaidenLionaX
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteMyth Avenue Gaming · 60%
Series resultMyth Avenue Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2