BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportsloss 1:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
XERXIAloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Neon Esports
Chen
Se · 8 games
Earthshaker
PlayHard · 8 games
Snapfire
Hated · 7 games
Undyingoften banned
Se · 7 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Enryu · 6 games
Tusk
PlayHard · 6 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
FortuneSoul · 5 games
Enchantressoften banned
Se · 5 games
XERXIA
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
455 picks · 450 bans
Rubick
452 picks · 303 bans
Tiny
444 picks · 399 bans
Mirana
326 picks · 327 bans
Treant Protector
304 picks · 360 bans
Snapfire
275 picks · 142 bans
Ember Spirit
250 picks · 624 bans
Crystal Maiden
236 picks · 162 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 30%
Hero pool strength54% XERXIA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:35
Neon Esports 56%XERXIA 44%
The model gave 56% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by XERXIA in 45:07.
Game 2prediction correct37:22
Neon Esports 56%XERXIA 44%
The model gave 56% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 47:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2