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BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
5RATFORCESTAFFwin 2:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ravensloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

5RATFORCESTAFF

Jakiro
Jakiro
albinozebra · 34 games
56%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
dnm · 11 games
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Speeed · 9 games
56%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Speeed · 9 games
78%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 9 games
44%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
dnm · 9 games
78%
Rubick
Rubick
CTOMAHEH1 · 9 games
44%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
albinozebra · 8 games
63%

Ravens

Rubick
Rubick
d1smar · 11 games
18%
Tiny
Tiny
d1smar · 11 games
55%
Visage
Visagesignature
Benjaz · 11 games
64%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Cara · 9 games
56%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 7 games
43%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Benjaz · 6 games
83%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
Benjaz · 6 games
33%
Doom
Doomsignature
d1smar · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
455 picks · 450 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
452 picks · 301 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
442 picks · 399 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
325 picks · 327 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
302 picks · 360 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
274 picks · 141 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
250 picks · 622 bans
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
236 picks · 161 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 42%
Hero pool strength55% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total57% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct51:20
5RATFORCESTAFF 56%Ravens 44%
The model gave 56% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 47:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSpeeed
50% · 210 games50% · 51 game
SpectreParker
Spectre
Leshrac
Leshracdnm
54% · 230 games45% · 112 games
TimbersawBenjaz
Timbersaw
Pangolier
Pangolierred2
51% · 392 games47% · 450 games
TinyPiPi
Tiny
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoralbinozebra
58% · 202 games45% · 237 games
MiranaCara
Mirana
Riki
RikiLil_Nick
54% · 71 game47% · 255 games
Snapfired1smar
Snapfire
Game 2prediction correct46:33
5RATFORCESTAFF 54%Ravens 46%
The model gave 54% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 47:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Death Prophet
Death Prophetred2
48% · 300 games48% · 264 games
TerrorbladeParker
Terrorblade
Underlord
UnderlordSpeeed
52% · 40 games51% · 144 games
Primal BeastPiPi
Primal Beast
Faceless Void
Faceless Voiddnm
53% · 136 games48% · 372 games
MarsBenjaz
Mars
Tiny
TinyLil_Nick
48% · 449 games51% · 70 games
Techiesd1smar
Techies
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magealbinozebra
51% · 97 games53% · 172 games
Treant ProtectorCara
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favorite5RATFORCESTAFF · 57%
Series result5RATFORCESTAFF 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2