BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenwin 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dreamersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thunder Awaken
Tinysignature
DarkMago · 19 games
Crystal Maiden
Panda · 18 games
Snapfire
Matthew · 18 games
Dawnbreakersignature
Sacred · 14 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pakazs · 14 games
Pangoliersignature
Sacred · 13 games
Rubick
Matthew · 13 games
Hoodwink
Michael · 11 games
Dreamers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
452 picks · 450 bans
Rubick
451 picks · 300 bans
Tiny
438 picks · 399 bans
Mirana
325 picks · 325 bans
Treant Protector
302 picks · 356 bans
Snapfire
272 picks · 140 bans
Ember Spirit
249 picks · 621 bans
Pangolier
234 picks · 595 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Thunder Awaken
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:17
Thunder Awaken 72%Dreamers 28%
The model gave 72% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 27:14.
Game 2prediction correct33:26
Thunder Awaken 72%Dreamers 28%
The model gave 72% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 37:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 72%
Series resultThunder Awaken 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2