BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
5RATFORCESTAFF
Jakiro
albinozebra · 34 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
dnm · 11 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Speeed · 9 games
Broodmothersignature
Speeed · 9 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 9 games
Faceless Voidsignature
dnm · 9 games
Rubick
CTOMAHEH1 · 9 games
Crystal Maidensignature
albinozebra · 8 games
No Runes
Crystal Maiden
Nuages · 3 games
Snapfire
Nuages · 3 games
Broodmotheroften banned
Hyko · 2 games
Invokeroften banned
Mr.Jeans · 2 games
Marcioften banned
Jupiter · 2 games
Miranaoften banned
Jupiter · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 2 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Hyko · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
451 picks · 449 bans
Rubick
448 picks · 300 bans
Tiny
437 picks · 398 bans
Mirana
325 picks · 325 bans
Treant Protector
301 picks · 353 bans
Snapfire
271 picks · 140 bans
Ember Spirit
246 picks · 620 bans
Crystal Maiden
233 picks · 161 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 42%
Hero pool strength53% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total71% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
5RATFORCESTAFF 71%No Runes 29%
The model gave 71% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF.
Game 2prediction correct
5RATFORCESTAFF 71%No Runes 29%
The model gave 71% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF.
Model check result
Model favorite5RATFORCESTAFF · 71%
Series result5RATFORCESTAFF 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2