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BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
HellRaiserswin 2:1
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Into The Breachloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HellRaisers

No games played over 6 months.

Into The Breach

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Kidaro · 18 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
Ari · 16 games
56%
Lycan
Lycansignature
Xibbe · 11 games
73%
Pudge
Pudgesignature
Otaker · 11 games
73%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Xibbe · 10 games
70%
Dazzle
Dazzle
Kidaro · 9 games
56%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Otaker · 9 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Xibbe · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
443 picks · 289 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
443 picks · 447 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
431 picks · 398 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
322 picks · 322 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
289 picks · 345 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
264 picks · 136 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
241 picks · 612 bans
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
232 picks · 160 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 23%
Hero pool strength54% Into The Breach
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total67% HellRaisers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed41:34
HellRaisers 67%Into The Breach 33%
The model gave 67% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 44:54.
Game 2prediction missed10:36
HellRaisers 67%Into The Breach 33%
The model gave 67% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 31:24.
Game 3prediction missed27:9
HellRaisers 67%Into The Breach 33%
The model gave 67% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 23:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteHellRaisers · 67%
Series resultHellRaisers 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3