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BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Reaperloss 0:2
series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 0:2
EHOMEwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Reaper

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Fearless · 1 game
0%
Tiny
Tiny
Fearless · 1 game
0%

EHOME

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Lwwnb · 12 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Night · 11 games
73%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Night · 9 games
44%
Marci
Marcioften banned
xiaoyu154 · 7 games
14%
Mirana
Miranaoften banned
CatYou · 7 games
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
mks- · 6 games
50%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
CatYou · 6 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Lwwnb · 5 games
20%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
443 picks · 289 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
443 picks · 447 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
431 picks · 398 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
322 picks · 322 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
289 picks · 345 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
264 picks · 136 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
241 picks · 612 bans
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
232 picks · 160 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)18% vs 50%
Hero pool strength60% EHOME
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% EHOME
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:42
Reaper 26%EHOME 74%
The model gave 74% on EHOME — the game was taken by EHOME in 40:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightFearless
50% · 185 gameslittle data
Spectremks-
Spectre
46% · 104 games
TinyNight
Tiny
48% · 61 game
Death Prophetxiaoyu154
Death Prophet
56% · 12 games
RikiCatYou
Riki
50% · 8 games
DisruptorLwwnb
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct30:40
Reaper 25%EHOME 75%
The model gave 75% on EHOME — the game was taken by EHOME in 38:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritFearless
47% · 403 games56% · 57 games
Monkey Kingmks-
Monkey King
58% · 102 games
Marsxiaoyu154
Mars
53% · 133 games
PangolierNight
Pangolier
44% · 73 games
RubickCatYou
Rubick
55% · 38 games
DisruptorLwwnb
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteEHOME · 87%
Series resultEHOME 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2