BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Alliance.LATAMloss 1:1series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Dreamersloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Alliance.LATAM
No games played over 6 months.
Dreamers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
437 picks · 443 bans
Rubick
436 picks · 289 bans
Tiny
426 picks · 396 bans
Mirana
318 picks · 320 bans
Treant Protector
285 picks · 341 bans
Snapfire
262 picks · 135 bans
Ember Spirit
236 picks · 608 bans
Crystal Maiden
230 picks · 160 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Alliance.LATAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Dreamers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:38
Alliance.LATAM 47%Dreamers 53%
The model gave 53% on Dreamers — the game was taken by Dreamers in 34:44.
Game 2prediction correct12:42
Alliance.LATAM 47%Dreamers 53%
The model gave 53% on Dreamers — the game was taken by Dreamers in 28:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteDreamers · 53%
Accuracy by game2 of 2