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BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenwin 2:0
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Thunder Awaken

Tiny
Tiny
DarkMago · 19 games
58%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Panda · 17 games
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Matthew · 17 games
35%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pakazs · 15 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Sacred · 14 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
Matthew · 14 games
43%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
Sacred · 13 games
69%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Michael · 11 games
45%

Infinity Esports

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 9 games
33%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Jupiter · 8 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Nuages · 7 games
43%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
mini-` · 7 games
71%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Frank · 6 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Hyko · 6 games
67%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Genek · 6 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Nuages · 6 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
437 picks · 443 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
435 picks · 289 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
424 picks · 396 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
318 picks · 320 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
285 picks · 340 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
260 picks · 135 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
235 picks · 608 bans
51%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
229 picks · 160 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 39%
Hero pool strength54% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total71% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:23
Thunder Awaken 71%Infinity Esports 29%
The model gave 71% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 38:24.
Game 2prediction correct41:23
Thunder Awaken 71%Infinity Esports 29%
The model gave 71% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 35:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 71%
Series resultThunder Awaken 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2