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BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:1
No Runesloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Wildcard Gaming

Rubick
Rubick
Alexxo · 10 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
FrancisLee · 10 games
70%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Babitich · 9 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Chen · 7 games
43%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Sunlight · 7 games
43%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Sunlight · 6 games
33%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
iAnnihilate · 5 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Babitich · 5 games
80%

No Runes

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Nuages · 3 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Nuages · 3 games
33%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
Hyko · 2 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Mr.Jeans · 2 games
50%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Jupiter · 2 games
50%
Mirana
Miranaoften banned
Jupiter · 2 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 2 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Hyko · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
436 picks · 442 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
434 picks · 287 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
423 picks · 394 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
317 picks · 320 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
284 picks · 339 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
258 picks · 134 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
233 picks · 608 bans
51%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
228 picks · 160 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 45%
Hero pool strength52% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% No Runes
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:38
Wildcard Gaming 46%No Runes 54%
The model gave 54% on No Runes — the game was taken by No Runes in 38:55.
Game 2prediction missed42:37
Wildcard Gaming 46%No Runes 54%
The model gave 54% on No Runes — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 50:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Runes · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2