BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Alliancewin 2:1series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:1
HellRaisersloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Alliance
No games played over 6 months.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
433 picks · 437 bans
Rubick
431 picks · 285 bans
Tiny
420 picks · 392 bans
Mirana
316 picks · 319 bans
Treant Protector
282 picks · 335 bans
Snapfire
254 picks · 134 bans
Ember Spirit
231 picks · 605 bans
Crystal Maiden
225 picks · 159 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Alliance
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% HellRaisers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:31
Alliance 35%HellRaisers 65%
The model gave 65% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by Alliance in 53:53.
Game 2prediction correct21:25
Alliance 35%HellRaisers 65%
The model gave 65% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by HellRaisers in 33:53.
Game 3prediction missed31:36
Alliance 35%HellRaisers 65%
The model gave 65% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by Alliance in 43:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteHellRaisers · 65%
Series resultAlliance 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3