BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Monaspaloss 0:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Virtus.prowin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Monaspa
No games played over 6 months.
Virtus.pro
Tiny
yamich · 22 games
Disruptor
Xakoda · 14 games
Linasignature
gpK~ · 14 games
Marcisignature
yamich · 14 games
Clockwerk
Dukalis · 13 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 13 games
Rubick
sayuw · 13 games
Skywrath Mage
Xakoda · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
432 picks · 435 bans
Rubick
429 picks · 283 bans
Tiny
418 picks · 392 bans
Mirana
315 picks · 319 bans
Treant Protector
281 picks · 334 bans
Snapfire
253 picks · 134 bans
Ember Spirit
229 picks · 605 bans
Crystal Maiden
224 picks · 159 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total65% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:47
Monaspa 35%Virtus.pro 65%
The model gave 65% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 1:01:54.
Game 2prediction correct32:20
Monaspa 35%Virtus.pro 65%
The model gave 65% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 42:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 65%
Series resultVirtus.pro 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2