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BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
SPAWN Teamwin 2:0
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Myth Avenue Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

SPAWN Team

Silencer
Silenceroften banned
TraVins · 11 games
45%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
dalul · 11 games
55%
Mirana
Miranaoften banned
TraVins · 10 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
TraVins · 9 games
56%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Jikroy · 8 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
dalul · 7 games
43%
Tiny
Tiny
dalul · 7 games
57%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
Jikroy · 6 games
83%

Myth Avenue Gaming

Tusk
Tusksignature
Hishge · 9 games
89%
Lina
Linasignature
xsilearn · 7 games
100%
Mirana
Miranaoften banned
RR · 5 games
80%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
Meracle · 5 games
60%
Tiny
Tiny
Hishge · 5 games
80%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
zeal · 4 games
100%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Meracle · 4 games
75%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Hishge · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
430 picks · 435 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
427 picks · 283 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
417 picks · 392 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
314 picks · 318 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
280 picks · 333 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
253 picks · 134 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
229 picks · 604 bans
52%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
224 picks · 159 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% Myth Avenue Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Myth Avenue Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed42:33
SPAWN Team 46%Myth Avenue Gaming 54%
The model gave 54% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by SPAWN Team in 42:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaMamangDaya
48% · 255 games52% · 157 games
Batriderxsilearn
Batrider
Slark
SlarkJikroy
53% · 95 games53% · 105 games
Faceless VoidMeracle
Faceless Void
Viper
ViperRed
47% · 125 games51% · 213 games
Marcizeal
Marci
Tusk
Tuskdalul
49% · 313 games50% · 331 game
RubickRR
Rubick
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorTraVins
54% · 231 game44% · 213 games
HoodwinkHishge
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction missed32:17
SPAWN Team 45%Myth Avenue Gaming 55%
The model gave 55% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by SPAWN Team in 33:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingJikroy
45% · 158 games41% · 79 games
Drow RangerMeracle
Drow Ranger
Broodmother
BroodmotherRed
58% · 103 games54% · 167 games
Primal Beastxsilearn
Primal Beast
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMamangDaya
52% · 127 games45% · 389 games
Tuskzeal
Tusk
Mirana
Miranadalul
62% · 273 games48% · 367 games
RubickRR
Rubick
Tiny
TinyTraVins
51% · 518 games43% · 177 games
GrimstrokeHishge
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteMyth Avenue Gaming · 57%
Series resultSPAWN Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2