BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Darksideloss 1:2series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 1:2
PSG Questwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Darkside
No games played over 6 months.
PSG Quest
Rubicksignature
OmaR · 11 games
Clockwerksignature
Kaori · 6 games
Tidehuntersignature
Wuiter · 6 games
Tinysignature
No!ob · 6 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Kaori · 6 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Wuiter · 5 games
Hoodwink
OmaR · 5 games
Morphlingoften banned
TA2000 · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
427 picks · 433 bans
Rubick
421 picks · 280 bans
Tiny
413 picks · 390 bans
Mirana
313 picks · 318 bans
Treant Protector
276 picks · 329 bans
Snapfire
251 picks · 133 bans
Ember Spirit
229 picks · 596 bans
Crystal Maiden
223 picks · 157 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 83%
Hero pool strength65% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% PSG Quest
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:34
Darkside 38%PSG Quest 62%
The model gave 62% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 34:43.
Game 2prediction correct22:28
Darkside 38%PSG Quest 62%
The model gave 62% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 32:38.
Game 3prediction correct28:14
Darkside 38%PSG Quest 62%
The model gave 62% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 32:35.
Model check result
Model favoritePSG Quest · 62%
Series resultPSG Quest 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3