DreamLeague Season 29. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegionwin 1:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 1:0
NNotloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GamerLegion
Warlock
Speeed · 22 games
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 21 game
Jakirooften banned
Speeed · 21 game
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 20 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 20 games
Storm Spiritsignature
RCY · 19 games
Tusksignature
Bignum · 19 games
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 17 games
Not
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
637 picks · 694 bans
Tiny
513 picks · 450 bans
Tusk
488 picks · 398 bans
Warlock
433 picks · 288 bans
Phoenix
412 picks · 373 bans
Shadow Demon
390 picks · 1084 bans
Puck
387 picks · 818 bans
Mars
380 picks · 563 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Not
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
GamerLegion 86%Not 14%
The model gave 86% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 86%
Series resultGamerLegion 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1