BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
RISE Esportswin 2:0series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Into The Breachloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
RISE Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Into The Breach
Crystal Maiden
Kidaro · 17 games
Tiny
Ari · 16 games
Lycansignature
Xibbe · 11 games
Enigmasignature
Xibbe · 10 games
Pudgesignature
Otaker · 10 games
Dazzle
Kidaro · 9 games
Slarksignature
Otaker · 8 games
Earth Spirit
Immersion · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
421 picks · 428 bans
Rubick
404 picks · 273 bans
Tiny
403 picks · 385 bans
Mirana
305 picks · 313 bans
Treant Protector
269 picks · 318 bans
Snapfire
245 picks · 130 bans
Crystal Maiden
220 picks · 154 bans
Ember Spirit
218 picks · 585 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 25%
Hero pool strength54% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:7
RISE Esports 25%Into The Breach 75%
The model gave 75% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 31:28.
Game 2prediction correct20:31
RISE Esports 25%Into The Breach 75%
The model gave 75% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 39:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 75%
Series resultRISE Esports 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2