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BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
EHOMEloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Esports

Chen
Chen
Se · 8 games
50%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
PlayHard · 8 games
38%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Se · 7 games
14%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Enryu · 6 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Hated · 6 games
33%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
FortuneSoul · 5 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Se · 5 games
40%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
PlayHard · 5 games
20%

EHOME

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Lwwnb · 11 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Night · 8 games
63%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Night · 8 games
50%
Marci
Marcioften banned
xiaoyu154 · 7 games
14%
Mirana
Miranaoften banned
CatYou · 7 games
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
mks- · 6 games
50%
Tiny
Tiny
CatYou · 5 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Lwwnb · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
419 picks · 428 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
403 picks · 273 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
403 picks · 384 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
305 picks · 313 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
268 picks · 317 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
245 picks · 130 bans
48%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
218 picks · 154 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
218 picks · 584 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% EHOME
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% EHOME
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed45:33
Neon Esports 47%EHOME 53%
The model gave 53% on EHOME — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 51:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkFortuneSoul
55% · 67 games49% · 86 games
Linamks-
Lina
Primal Beast
Primal BeastKen
47% · 157 games46% · 94 games
Broodmotherxiaoyu154
Broodmother
Magnus
MagnusEnryu
52% · 55 games49% · 147 games
TuskNight
Tusk
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenHated
45% · 160 games57% · 103 games
ClockwerkLwwnb
Clockwerk
52% · 9 games
LionCatYou
Lion
Game 2prediction correct25:39
Neon Esports 49%EHOME 51%
The model gave 51% on EHOME — the game was taken by EHOME in 37:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Spectre
SpectreFortuneSoul
45% · 31 game50% · 36 games
Phantom Assassinmks-
Phantom Assassin
Batrider
BatriderKen
52% · 176 games43% · 96 games
Primal Beastxiaoyu154
Primal Beast
Tusk
TuskEnryu
52% · 291 game56% · 214 games
PangolierNight
Pangolier
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorHated
52% · 200 games49% · 229 games
RubickCatYou
Rubick
47% · 123 games
Crystal MaidenLwwnb
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteEHOME · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2