BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Alliance.LATAMloss 0:2series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ravenswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Alliance.LATAM
No games played over 6 months.
Ravens
Tiny
d1smar · 11 games
Visagesignature
Benjaz · 11 games
Rubick
d1smar · 10 games
Crystal Maiden
Cara · 9 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 7 games
Beastmastersignature
Benjaz · 6 games
Doomsignature
d1smar · 6 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
DaaD- · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
416 picks · 427 bans
Tiny
402 picks · 384 bans
Rubick
400 picks · 271 bans
Mirana
304 picks · 311 bans
Treant Protector
266 picks · 316 bans
Snapfire
244 picks · 130 bans
Crystal Maiden
218 picks · 153 bans
Ember Spirit
215 picks · 582 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 36%
Hero pool strength52% Ravens
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total71% Alliance.LATAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Alliance.LATAM 71%Ravens 29%
The model gave 71% on Alliance.LATAM — the game was taken by Ravens.
Game 2prediction missed
Alliance.LATAM 71%Ravens 29%
The model gave 71% on Alliance.LATAM — the game was taken by Ravens.
Model check result
Model favoriteAlliance.LATAM · 71%
Series resultRavens 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2