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BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Alliancewin 2:0
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Into The Breachloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Alliance

No games played over 6 months.

Into The Breach

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Kidaro · 17 games
59%
Tiny
Tiny
Ari · 16 games
56%
Lycan
Lycansignature
Xibbe · 11 games
73%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Xibbe · 10 games
70%
Pudge
Pudgesignature
Otaker · 10 games
80%
Dazzle
Dazzle
Kidaro · 9 games
56%
Slark
Slarksignature
Otaker · 8 games
63%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Immersion · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
414 picks · 423 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
399 picks · 380 bans
49%
Rubick
Rubick
395 picks · 268 bans
55%
Mirana
Mirana
302 picks · 310 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
264 picks · 308 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
244 picks · 130 bans
48%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
217 picks · 153 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
210 picks · 579 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 27%
Hero pool strength54% Into The Breach
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total51% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:9
Alliance 49%Into The Breach 51%
The model gave 51% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Alliance in 33:39.
Game 2prediction missed30:19
Alliance 49%Into The Breach 51%
The model gave 51% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Alliance in 33:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 51%
Series resultAlliance 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2