BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
EHOMEloss 1:1series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:1
XERXIAloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
EHOME
Disruptorsignature
Lwwnb · 11 games
Pangoliersignature
Night · 8 games
Tuskoften banned
Night · 8 games
Marcioften banned
xiaoyu154 · 7 games
Miranaoften banned
CatYou · 7 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
mks- · 6 games
Tiny
CatYou · 5 games
Clockwerk
Lwwnb · 4 games
XERXIA
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
413 picks · 421 bans
Tiny
394 picks · 378 bans
Rubick
391 picks · 264 bans
Mirana
301 picks · 309 bans
Treant Protector
260 picks · 306 bans
Snapfire
243 picks · 127 bans
Crystal Maiden
215 picks · 153 bans
Ember Spirit
207 picks · 575 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 25%
Hero pool strength51% EHOME
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% EHOME
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
EHOME 64%XERXIA 36%
The model gave 64% on EHOME — the game was taken by EHOME.
Game 2prediction missed
EHOME 64%XERXIA 36%
The model gave 64% on EHOME — the game was taken by XERXIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteEHOME · 64%
Accuracy by game1 of 2