DreamLeague Season 29. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTGthe goal of all life is deathloss 0:1
series probability
2%98%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Vici Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
the goal of all life is death
No games played over 6 months.
Vici Gaming
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 19 games
Jakirooften banned
y` · 18 games
Faceless Voidsignature
pLAnet · 11 games
Windrangeroften banned
shiro · 11 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
shiro · 10 games
Marcisignature
shiro · 10 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 10 games
Phoenix
y` · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
632 picks · 696 bans
Tiny
511 picks · 451 bans
Tusk
483 picks · 388 bans
Warlock
431 picks · 288 bans
Phoenix
406 picks · 349 bans
Shadow Demon
387 picks · 1070 bans
Puck
382 picks · 802 bans
Mars
379 picks · 560 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 52%
Hero pool strength51% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total98% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
the goal of all life is death 2%Vici Gaming 98%
The model gave 98% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 98%
Series resultVici Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1