BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Neon Esports
Chen
Se · 8 games
Earthshaker
PlayHard · 8 games
Undyingoften banned
Se · 7 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Enryu · 6 games
Snapfire
Hated · 6 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
FortuneSoul · 5 games
Enchantressoften banned
Se · 5 games
Tusk
PlayHard · 5 games
UD Vessuwan
Batrideroften banned
AlaCrity · 2 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Meracle · 2 games
Earthshaker
Jhocam · 2 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
inYourdreaM · 2 games
Marsoften banned
Meracle · 2 games
Snapfire
Jhocam · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 2 games
Ursaoften banned
inYourdreaM · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
401 picks · 398 bans
Tiny
370 picks · 367 bans
Rubick
359 picks · 247 bans
Mirana
292 picks · 296 bans
Treant Protector
234 picks · 284 bans
Snapfire
226 picks · 118 bans
Crystal Maiden
208 picks · 145 bans
Ember Spirit
196 picks · 543 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Neon Esports 62%UD Vessuwan 38%
The model gave 62% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by UD Vessuwan.
Game 2prediction missed
Neon Esports 62%UD Vessuwan 38%
The model gave 62% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by UD Vessuwan.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 62%
Series resultUD Vessuwan 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2