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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Южная Америка. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ravenswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 7 games
43%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
mini-` · 7 games
71%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Nuages · 6 games
50%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Genek · 6 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Jupiter · 6 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Nuages · 6 games
100%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Hyko · 5 games
80%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Prada · 4 games
50%

Ravens

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
d1smar · 11 games
55%
Visage
Visagesignature
Benjaz · 11 games
64%
Rubick
Rubick
d1smar · 10 games
20%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Cara · 9 games
56%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 7 games
43%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Benjaz · 6 games
83%
Doom
Doomsignature
d1smar · 6 games
67%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
DaaD- · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
400 picks · 389 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
359 picks · 360 bans
49%
Rubick
Rubick
344 picks · 234 bans
56%
Mirana
Mirana
285 picks · 291 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
221 picks · 270 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
216 picks · 115 bans
49%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
209 picks · 148 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
193 picks · 526 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 30%
Hero pool strength54% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Infinity Esports 64%Ravens 36%
The model gave 64% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Ravens.
Game 2prediction missed
Infinity Esports 64%Ravens 36%
The model gave 64% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Ravens.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 64%
Series resultRavens 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2