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BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:1
SPAWN Teamloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Esports

Chen
Chen
Se · 8 games
50%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
PlayHard · 8 games
38%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Se · 7 games
14%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Enryu · 6 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Hated · 6 games
33%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
FortuneSoul · 5 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Se · 5 games
40%
Tusk
Tusk
PlayHard · 5 games
20%

SPAWN Team

Silencer
Silenceroften banned
TraVins · 11 games
45%
Tusk
Tusk
dalul · 10 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
TraVins · 9 games
56%
Mirana
Miranaoften banned
TraVins · 8 games
38%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Jikroy · 7 games
57%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
Jikroy · 6 games
83%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
dalul · 6 games
83%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Jikroy · 5 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
398 picks · 387 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
357 picks · 357 bans
49%
Rubick
Rubick
341 picks · 232 bans
57%
Mirana
Mirana
286 picks · 291 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
218 picks · 269 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
216 picks · 112 bans
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
209 picks · 149 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
190 picks · 525 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 70%
Hero pool strength59% SPAWN Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% SPAWN Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Neon Esports 41%SPAWN Team 59%
The model gave 59% on SPAWN Team — the game was taken by Neon Esports.
Game 2prediction correct
Neon Esports 41%SPAWN Team 59%
The model gave 59% on SPAWN Team — the game was taken by SPAWN Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPAWN Team · 59%
Accuracy by game1 of 2