European Pro League Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydraloss 0:1series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 0:1
B1Benz 190Ewin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hydra
Tusksignature
Lefitan · 21 game
Disruptorsignature
HappyDyurara · 12 games
Beastmastersignature
Cloud · 11 games
Batridersignature
Worick · 8 games
Lycansignature
Cloud · 8 games
Silencersignature
HappyDyurara · 8 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Lefitan · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 5 games
Benz 190E
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
385 picks · 371 bans
Tiny
340 picks · 348 bans
Rubick
312 picks · 222 bans
Mirana
275 picks · 277 bans
Crystal Maiden
203 picks · 148 bans
Snapfire
198 picks · 109 bans
Treant Protector
193 picks · 253 bans
Pangolier
186 picks · 512 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)78% vs 50%
Hero pool strength63% Hydra
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Hydra 87%Benz 190E 13%
The model gave 87% on Hydra — the game was taken by Benz 190E.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 87%
Series resultBenz 190E 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1