European Pro League Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Sexywin 2:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Monteloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Sexy
No games played over 6 months.
Monte
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
385 picks · 370 bans
Tiny
339 picks · 348 bans
Rubick
310 picks · 222 bans
Mirana
275 picks · 277 bans
Crystal Maiden
201 picks · 148 bans
Snapfire
198 picks · 108 bans
Treant Protector
192 picks · 252 bans
Pangolier
185 picks · 512 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team Sexy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Monte
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Sexy 49%Monte 51%
The model gave 51% on Monte — the game was taken by Team Sexy.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Sexy 49%Monte 51%
The model gave 51% on Monte — the game was taken by Monte.
Game 3prediction missed
Team Sexy 49%Monte 51%
The model gave 51% on Monte — the game was taken by Team Sexy.
Model check result
Model favoriteMonte · 51%
Series resultTeam Sexy 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3