?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Южная Америка. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 2:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Infamousloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 7 games
43%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
mini-` · 7 games
71%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Nuages · 6 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Hyko · 5 games
80%
Rubick
Rubick
Genek · 5 games
80%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Nuages · 5 games
100%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 4 games
50%
Lion
Lion
Jupiter · 4 games
25%

Infamous

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Oscar · 9 games
44%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
sl4d1n- · 6 games
83%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Mjz · 4 games
0%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Oscar · 4 games
75%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Oscar · 3 games
33%
Mirana
Mirana
sl4d1n- · 3 games
67%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Mjz · 3 games
100%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
sl4d1n- · 3 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
378 picks · 366 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
337 picks · 342 bans
49%
Rubick
Rubick
302 picks · 219 bans
58%
Mirana
Mirana
274 picks · 272 bans
54%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
197 picks · 146 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
194 picks · 107 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
187 picks · 247 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
185 picks · 508 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 29%
Hero pool strength54% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total56% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:5
Infinity Esports 56%Infamous 44%
The model gave 56% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 34:37.
Game 2prediction missed9:35
Infinity Esports 56%Infamous 44%
The model gave 56% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infamous in 32:24.
Game 3prediction correct28:24
Infinity Esports 56%Infamous 44%
The model gave 56% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 40:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 56%
Series resultInfinity Esports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3