European Pro League Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
PSG Questwin 2:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:1
YNTloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PSG Quest
Tinyoften banned
OmaR · 8 games
Rubick
OmaR · 5 games
Snapfire
Kaori · 4 games
Tusk
OmaR · 4 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Wuiter · 3 games
Iooften banned
Eixn · 3 games
Phoenix
Kaori · 3 games
Zeusoften banned
No!ob · 3 games
YNT
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
376 picks · 366 bans
Tiny
337 picks · 339 bans
Rubick
301 picks · 219 bans
Mirana
273 picks · 272 bans
Crystal Maiden
196 picks · 146 bans
Snapfire
194 picks · 106 bans
Treant Protector
187 picks · 247 bans
Pangolier
183 picks · 507 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)80% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% YNT
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% PSG Quest
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
PSG Quest 59%YNT 41%
The model gave 59% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by YNT.
Game 2prediction correct
PSG Quest 59%YNT 41%
The model gave 59% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest.
Game 3prediction correct
PSG Quest 59%YNT 41%
The model gave 59% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest.
Model check result
Model favoritePSG Quest · 59%
Series resultPSG Quest 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3