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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Восточная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincereloss 0:2
series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Natus Vincere

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
swedenstrong · 14 games
57%
Tiny
Tiny
swedenstrong · 11 games
18%
Visage
Visagesignature
laise · 10 games
60%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
swedenstrong · 9 games
67%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Solo · 9 games
56%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangersignature
V-Tune · 8 games
88%
Snapfire
Snapfire
swedenstrong · 8 games
13%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
laise · 8 games
63%

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 8 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
TORONTOTOKYO · 5 games
80%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Save- · 4 games
100%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Pure~ · 4 games
75%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Ainkrad · 3 games
67%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Bignum · 3 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 3 games
33%
Tiny
Tiny
Save- · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
373 picks · 353 bans
57%
Tiny
Tiny
334 picks · 332 bans
48%
Rubick
Rubick
279 picks · 209 bans
59%
Mirana
Mirana
271 picks · 267 bans
54%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
193 picks · 145 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
184 picks · 107 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
180 picks · 500 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
175 picks · 474 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 75%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total83% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:16
Natus Vincere 31%BETBOOM TEAM 69%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 22:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerV-Tune
49% · 55 games54% · 129 games
LycanNightfall
Lycan
Timbersaw
Timbersawlaise
45% · 131 game53% · 287 games
Death ProphetgpK~
Death Prophet
Tusk
Tusknicky`cool
52% · 245 games51% · 68 games
SlarkPure~
Slark
Tiny
Tinyswedenstrong
47% · 420 games52% · 170 games
Treant ProtectorTORONTOTOKYO
Treant Protector
Silencer
SilencerHduo
46% · 101 game51% · 298 games
RubickSave-
Rubick
Game 2prediction correct35:29
Natus Vincere 29%BETBOOM TEAM 71%
The model gave 71% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 57:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetV-Tune
45% · 100 games47% · 164 games
LeshracgpK~
Leshrac
Tusk
Tusknicky`cool
54% · 234 games55% · 211 games
Dragon KnightNightfall
Dragon Knight
Mars
Marslaise
47% · 351 game52% · 239 games
LinaPure~
Lina
Rubick
Rubickswedenstrong
51% · 243 games49% · 242 games
ClockwerkTORONTOTOKYO
Clockwerk
Undying
UndyingHduo
56% · 176 games45% · 248 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 83%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2