Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Восточная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Darksideloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 6 games
Clockwerk
Bignum · 5 games
Viperoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
Linaoften banned
Ainkrad · 3 games
Marcioften banned
Bignum · 3 games
Alchemistoften banned
Dinozavrik · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
Ainkrad · 2 games
Chenoften banned
Bignum · 2 games
Darkside
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
356 picks · 339 bans
Tiny
333 picks · 330 bans
Mirana
256 picks · 254 bans
Rubick
244 picks · 187 bans
Crystal Maiden
207 picks · 148 bans
Pangolier
182 picks · 501 bans
Snapfire
181 picks · 104 bans
Silencer
175 picks · 196 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:18
BETBOOM TEAM 72%Darkside 28%
The model gave 72% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Darkside in 41:52.
Game 2prediction correct26:3
BETBOOM TEAM 72%Darkside 28%
The model gave 72% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 16:13.
Game 3prediction correct39:32
BETBOOM TEAM 72%Darkside 28%
The model gave 72% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 54:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 72%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3