Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Китай. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SSolitudeloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Solitude
Pangolieroften banned
7e · 3 games
Tusk
Undyne_ · 3 games
Alchemistoften banned
Undyne_ · 2 games
Dragon Knight
Son GoKu · 2 games
Primal Beastoften banned
7e · 2 games
Warlock
Undyne_ · 2 games
Abaddon
Undyne_ · 1 game
Centaur Warrunner
Son GoKu · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
342 picks · 336 bans
Tusk
334 picks · 329 bans
Mirana
219 picks · 226 bans
Crystal Maiden
207 picks · 144 bans
Pangolier
204 picks · 533 bans
Snapfire
196 picks · 110 bans
Leshrac
195 picks · 426 bans
Silencer
195 picks · 229 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 33%
Hero pool strength51% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:36
Invictus Gaming 79%Solitude 21%
The model gave 79% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Solitude in 41:11.
Game 2prediction missed39:15
Invictus Gaming 79%Solitude 21%
The model gave 79% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Solitude in 37:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 79%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2