BetBoom Xmas Show · BO3
result vs prediction
HellRaisersloss 0:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
Nemiga Gaming
Phoenix
Hellscream · 8 games
Lifestealersignature
Kiritych · 7 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Hellscream · 7 games
Puckoften banned
Malr1ne · 7 games
Timbersawsignature
Malr1ne · 7 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 6 games
Enchantresssignature
so bad · 6 games
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
364 picks · 350 bans
Tusk
337 picks · 325 bans
Pangolier
232 picks · 572 bans
Snapfire
228 picks · 122 bans
Marci
225 picks · 447 bans
Undying
221 picks · 395 bans
Mirana
219 picks · 220 bans
Crystal Maiden
216 picks · 146 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 58%
Hero pool strength60% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total54% HellRaisers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:25
HellRaisers 54%Nemiga Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 31:36.
Game 2prediction missed33:7
HellRaisers 54%Nemiga Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 28:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteHellRaisers · 54%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2