DreamLeague Season 29. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionBCBreeki Cheekiwin 2:0
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Enjoy Boysloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Breeki Cheeki
No games played over 6 months.
Enjoy Boys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
639 picks · 704 bans
Tiny
516 picks · 462 bans
Tusk
485 picks · 390 bans
Warlock
434 picks · 290 bans
Phoenix
402 picks · 343 bans
Shadow Demon
391 picks · 1076 bans
Mars
379 picks · 565 bans
Puck
379 picks · 799 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Breeki Cheeki
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Breeki Cheeki
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:24
Breeki Cheeki 62%Enjoy Boys 38%
The model gave 62% on Breeki Cheeki — the game was taken by Breeki Cheeki in 35:20.
Game 2prediction correct26:6
Breeki Cheeki 62%Enjoy Boys 38%
The model gave 62% on Breeki Cheeki — the game was taken by Breeki Cheeki in 26:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteBreeki Cheeki · 62%
Series resultBreeki Cheeki 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2