Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Китай. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的loss 0:1series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team CDMwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的
Snapfiresignature
Ayo · 6 games
Mirana
Ayo · 5 games
Tusk
strawberry · 5 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Shining · 4 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Zyd · 4 games
Clockwerk
strawberry · 3 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Shining · 3 games
Sniperoften banned
Zyd · 3 games
Team CDM
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
355 picks · 326 bans
Tusk
298 picks · 287 bans
Marci
273 picks · 518 bans
Undying
251 picks · 463 bans
Pangolier
243 picks · 542 bans
Primal Beast
229 picks · 583 bans
Shadow Fiend
219 picks · 335 bans
Snapfire
211 picks · 112 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength58% 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Team CDM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 39%Team CDM 61%
The model gave 61% on Team CDM — the game was taken by Team CDM.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam CDM · 61%
Series resultTeam CDM 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1