European Pro League Season 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTwin 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CYBER UNIONloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
YNT
No games played over 6 months.
CYBER UNION
Tiny
Miyaoo · 13 games
Silenceroften banned
Arti_Shock · 11 games
Tusk
OneJey · 10 games
Lich
Arti_Shock · 6 games
Clockwerk
OneJey · 5 games
Primal Beastoften banned
klassnokruto · 5 games
Pudgeoften banned
dizzying · 5 games
Undyingoften banned
OneJey · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
348 picks · 321 bans
Tusk
291 picks · 274 bans
Marci
273 picks · 520 bans
Undying
251 picks · 459 bans
Pangolier
244 picks · 533 bans
Primal Beast
225 picks · 573 bans
Shadow Fiend
216 picks · 332 bans
Crystal Maiden
209 picks · 125 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% YNT
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total65% YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
YNT 65%CYBER UNION 35%
The model gave 65% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT.
Game 2prediction correct
YNT 65%CYBER UNION 35%
The model gave 65% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT.
Model check result
Model favoriteYNT · 65%
Series resultYNT 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2