Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Северная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionOMour manager's last hope 6win 2:1
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:1
EEminenceloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
our manager's last hope 6
No games played over 6 months.
Eminence
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
342 picks · 303 bans
Tusk
279 picks · 252 bans
Marci
273 picks · 521 bans
Undying
252 picks · 452 bans
Pangolier
236 picks · 507 bans
Primal Beast
221 picks · 547 bans
Shadow Fiend
213 picks · 317 bans
Crystal Maiden
204 picks · 116 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% our manager's last hope 6
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Eminence
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
our manager's last hope 6 41%Eminence 59%
The model gave 59% on Eminence — the game was taken by our manager's last hope 6.
Game 2prediction correct
our manager's last hope 6 41%Eminence 59%
The model gave 59% on Eminence — the game was taken by Eminence.
Game 3prediction missed
our manager's last hope 6 41%Eminence 59%
The model gave 59% on Eminence — the game was taken by our manager's last hope 6.
Model check result
Model favoriteEminence · 59%
Series resultour manager's last hope 6 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3