Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Западная Европа. Открытые отборочные · BO1
result vs predictionGGGhetto Gardenloss 0:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Partizanaiwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ghetto Garden
No games played over 6 months.
Partizanai
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
343 picks · 300 bans
Tusk
278 picks · 252 bans
Marci
273 picks · 523 bans
Undying
253 picks · 450 bans
Pangolier
237 picks · 504 bans
Primal Beast
221 picks · 546 bans
Shadow Fiend
214 picks · 317 bans
Crystal Maiden
203 picks · 116 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Ghetto Garden
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Partizanai
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Ghetto Garden 46%Partizanai 54%
The model gave 54% on Partizanai — the game was taken by Partizanai.
Game 2prediction correct
Ghetto Garden 46%Partizanai 54%
The model gave 54% on Partizanai — the game was taken by Partizanai.
Model check result
Model favoritePartizanai · 54%
Series resultPartizanai 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2