Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Galo de Tenis da LOUDloss 0:2series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:2
South America Rejectswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Galo de Tenis da LOUD
No games played over 6 months.
South America Rejects
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
344 picks · 290 bans
Marci
283 picks · 529 bans
Tusk
281 picks · 249 bans
Undying
260 picks · 452 bans
Pangolier
240 picks · 499 bans
Primal Beast
223 picks · 541 bans
Shadow Fiend
215 picks · 318 bans
Crystal Maiden
202 picks · 117 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Galo de Tenis da LOUD
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Galo de Tenis da LOUD
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed47:38
Galo de Tenis da LOUD 64%South America Rejects 36%
The model gave 64% on Galo de Tenis da LOUD — the game was taken by South America Rejects in 46:02.
Game 2prediction missed34:22
Galo de Tenis da LOUD 64%South America Rejects 36%
The model gave 64% on Galo de Tenis da LOUD — the game was taken by South America Rejects in 36:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalo de Tenis da LOUD · 64%
Series resultSouth America Rejects 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2