Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Западная Европа. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionL2LeClassique 2.0loss 0:2
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TeamBlinkwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LeClassique 2.0
No games played over 6 months.
TeamBlink
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
344 picks · 287 bans
Marci
283 picks · 529 bans
Tusk
281 picks · 247 bans
Undying
260 picks · 452 bans
Pangolier
240 picks · 496 bans
Primal Beast
223 picks · 539 bans
Shadow Fiend
215 picks · 316 bans
Crystal Maiden
202 picks · 117 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% LeClassique 2.0
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% TeamBlink
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:13
LeClassique 2.0 50%TeamBlink 50%
The model gave 50% on TeamBlink — the game was taken by TeamBlink in 40:10.
Game 2prediction correct37:19
LeClassique 2.0 50%TeamBlink 50%
The model gave 50% on TeamBlink — the game was taken by TeamBlink in 33:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeamBlink · 50%
Series resultTeamBlink 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2