Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega Gamingloss 0:2series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TRocketwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Omega Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
TRocket
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
344 picks · 272 bans
Marci
296 picks · 547 bans
Tusk
279 picks · 228 bans
Undying
273 picks · 456 bans
Pangolier
245 picks · 475 bans
Primal Beast
230 picks · 530 bans
Shadow Fiend
216 picks · 314 bans
Crystal Maiden
208 picks · 115 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Omega Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Omega Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:53
Omega Gaming 57%TRocket 43%
The model gave 57% on Omega Gaming — the game was taken by TRocket in 45:16.
Game 2prediction missed43:30
Omega Gaming 57%TRocket 43%
The model gave 57% on Omega Gaming — the game was taken by TRocket in 30:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Gaming · 57%
Series resultTRocket 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2