Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Китай. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的loss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Limitwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的
Snapfire
Ayo · 5 games
Tusk
strawberry · 5 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Shining · 4 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Zyd · 4 games
Mirana
Ayo · 3 games
Linaoften banned
Zyd · 2 games
Nyx Assassin
strawberry · 2 games
Sniperoften banned
Zyd · 2 games
Limit
Doomoften banned
Srf · 3 games
Tusk
Echo · 3 games
Hoodwink
Yds · 2 games
Linaoften banned
Xm · 2 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Xm · 2 games
Tiny
Echo · 2 games
Treant Protector
Victoria · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Srf · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
353 picks · 252 bans
Marci
316 picks · 557 bans
Undying
284 picks · 466 bans
Tusk
281 picks · 191 bans
Pangolier
249 picks · 428 bans
Primal Beast
238 picks · 510 bans
Shadow Fiend
217 picks · 293 bans
Crystal Maiden
208 picks · 105 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 63%
Hero pool strength54% 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Limit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:43
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 50%Limit 50%
The model gave 50% on 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 — the game was taken by Limit in 26:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SniperZyd
MorphlingXm
RazorShining
Death ProphetSrf
MiranaAyo
PangolierEcho
Clockwerkstrawberry
TinyYds
51% · 79 games
Crystal MaidenVictoria
Game 2prediction correct20:39
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 48%Limit 52%
The model gave 52% on Limit — the game was taken by Limit in 35:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DoomShining
RazorXm
Queen of PainZyd
TuskEcho
MiranaAyo
Night StalkerSrf
Disruptorstrawberry
HoodwinkYds
47% · 95 games
Treant ProtectorVictoria
Model check result
Model favoriteLimit · 52%
Series resultLimit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2