Школьная лига 2022 · BO3
result vs predictionМ"МАОУ "СШ № 149"win 2:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
М"МОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 8"loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
МАОУ "СШ № 149"
No games played over 6 months.
МОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 8"
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
354 picks · 244 bans
Marci
327 picks · 560 bans
Undying
287 picks · 477 bans
Tusk
273 picks · 178 bans
Pangolier
252 picks · 423 bans
Primal Beast
241 picks · 502 bans
Shadow Fiend
216 picks · 285 bans
Crystal Maiden
208 picks · 100 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% МАОУ "СШ № 149"
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% МАОУ "СШ № 149"
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
МАОУ "СШ № 149" 50%МОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 8" 50%
The model gave 50% on МАОУ "СШ № 149" — the game was taken by МАОУ "СШ № 149".
Game 2prediction correct
МАОУ "СШ № 149" 50%МОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 8" 50%
The model gave 50% on МАОУ "СШ № 149" — the game was taken by МАОУ "СШ № 149".
Model check result
Model favoriteМАОУ "СШ № 149" · 50%
Series resultМАОУ "СШ № 149" 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2