Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Китай. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的loss 1:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:2
iG Vitalitywin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的
Beastmasteroften banned
Shining · 1 game
Clockwerk
strawberry · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Zyd · 1 game
Linaoften banned
Zyd · 1 game
Mirana
Ayo · 1 game
Snapfire
Ayo · 1 game
Tidehunteroften banned
Shining · 1 game
Tusk
strawberry · 1 game
iG Vitality
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
354 picks · 243 bans
Marci
327 picks · 560 bans
Undying
285 picks · 476 bans
Tusk
270 picks · 174 bans
Pangolier
252 picks · 419 bans
Primal Beast
240 picks · 499 bans
Shadow Fiend
213 picks · 282 bans
Crystal Maiden
207 picks · 100 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% iG Vitality
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:41
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 50%iG Vitality 50%
The model gave 50% on iG Vitality — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 49:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SniperZyd
Templar Assassinukiyo
Legion CommanderShining
LycanSummer
MiranaAyo
JakiroSj
Tuskstrawberry
Game 2prediction missed33:25
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 50%iG Vitality 50%
The model gave 50% on iG Vitality — the game was taken by 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 in 42:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DawnbreakerZyd
Shadow FiendSummer
RazorShining
Slarkukiyo
SnapfireAyo
Winter WyvernSj
Tuskstrawberry
Game 3prediction missed32:41
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 50%iG Vitality 50%
The model gave 50% on 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 53:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DawnbreakerZyd
Phantom Assassinukiyo
ViperShining
Shadow FiendSummer
RubickAyo
UndyingSj
Nyx Assassinstrawberry
Model check result
Model favoriteiG Vitality · 53%
Series resultiG Vitality 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 3