Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Китай. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
FH Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
355 picks · 241 bans
Marci
329 picks · 560 bans
Undying
285 picks · 478 bans
Tusk
267 picks · 173 bans
Pangolier
252 picks · 416 bans
Primal Beast
242 picks · 496 bans
Shadow Fiend
213 picks · 284 bans
Crystal Maiden
207 picks · 100 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% FH Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% FH Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:41
FH Gaming 52%你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 48%
The model gave 52% on FH Gaming — the game was taken by 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 in 44:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Disruptor斗圣
LinaZyd
52% · 29 games
TidehunterShining
52% · 42 games
MiranaAyo
52% · 25 games
Clockwerkstrawberry
Game 2prediction correct10:32
FH Gaming 48%你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 52%
The model gave 52% on 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 — the game was taken by 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 in 21:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lich斗圣
DawnbreakerZyd
60% · 11 games
BeastmasterShining
63% · 15 games
SnapfireAyo
62% · 17 games
Tuskstrawberry
Model check result
Model favoriteFH Gaming · 52%
Series result你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2