Открытые киберспортивные игры 2022 · BO3
result vs predictionCclublifewin 2:0
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MMatreshkaloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
clublife
No games played over 6 months.
Matreshka
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
352 picks · 241 bans
Marci
339 picks · 563 bans
Undying
289 picks · 492 bans
Tusk
266 picks · 170 bans
Pangolier
252 picks · 415 bans
Primal Beast
246 picks · 500 bans
Shadow Fiend
214 picks · 281 bans
Crystal Maiden
206 picks · 100 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% clublife
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% clublife
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
clublife 63%Matreshka 37%
The model gave 63% on clublife — the game was taken by clublife.
Game 2prediction correct
clublife 63%Matreshka 37%
The model gave 63% on clublife — the game was taken by clublife.
Model check result
Model favoriteclublife · 63%
Series resultclublife 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2